Large Trader AI

CoStar Group Inc (CSGP)

Real EstateReal Estate ServicesUndervalued

Price: $30.96 · Nov 13, 2026Analysis of Nov 10, 2026

Fair value

Fair value · Low
$50.81
Fair value · Mid
$63.51
Fair value · High
$76.21

Scorecard

Five subjects rated by the server with fixed thresholds. No overall grade: each colour shows where the strength or the weakness is.

Financial strengthStrong4 good · 0 neutral · 0 weak
ProfitabilityWeak0 good · 2 neutral · 2 weak
Earnings qualityAverage1 good · 2 neutral · 0 weak
GrowthAverage3 good · 0 neutral · 1 weak
ValuationUndervalued
Insolvency riskLow0.1% (estimate of the Ohlson model, 1-2 years)

Altman zone: Safe (Z 4.12) · annual report of Dec 31, 2025

Price and fair valueValue (USD)PriceFair value

Undervalued

Price and fair value50100Nov 30, 2015May 28, 2021Nov 9, 2026+30%+10%-10%-30%

Analysis

Conclusion

CoStar Group provides property information, analytics and online marketplaces for the commercial and residential real estate industry, including CoStar Property, LoopNet, Homes.com and Ten-X. At 31.24 USD on 2026-11-09, the market capitalisation is 12.57 billion USD.

The verdict is undervalued. The price-to-earnings ratio is 70.2 against a ten-year median of 84.5, a premium of -16.9%. The enterprise value to EBITDA multiple is 23.0 against a median of 45.5, a premium of -49.5%. The price-to-free-cash-flow ratio is 192.2 against a median of 60.7, a premium of 216.5%. The fair value band runs from 50.81 to 76.21 USD with a midpoint of 63.51 USD, a margin of safety of 103.3% at the current price. The fair value from historical multiples is 63.51 USD. The discounted cash flow value and the reverse DCF are not available in the data. Revenue has compounded at 14.4% over five years, but earnings per share has fallen at -51.1% a year over the same period.

The strongest numbers are the Altman Z-score of 4.115, interest coverage of 21.1 and five-year free cash flow conversion of 91.7%. The weakest are ROIC minus WACC of -6.68%, with ROIC at 1.73% against a WACC of 8.41%, trailing free cash flow conversion of 36.5%, and free cash flow after stock-based compensation of -87.6 million USD.

Financial health

Financial strength is green, held up by the Altman Z-score of 4.115, net debt to EBITDA of 1.17, interest coverage of 21.1 and a current ratio of 1.32. The quick ratio is 1.13 and debt to equity is 0.147, both as of 2026-09-30. The Altman model was designed for manufacturers, so its reading is approximate for this information and services business. The Altman zone is safe. Insolvency risk: low, about 0.12% by the estimate of the Ohlson model over one to two years, based on 2025-12-31 figures. Net debt has fallen over five years, with the five-year change in debt relative to revenue growth at -14.0%.

Earnings quality

Earnings quality is yellow. Free cash flow conversion is 91.7% over five years, which supports it, but trailing conversion has dropped to 36.5%. The accrual ratio is -0.0427, a favourable sign. Stock-based compensation equals 4.2% of revenue, and free cash flow after it is -87.6 million USD on a trailing basis. The share count has grown at 1.9% a year over five years, so there are no net buybacks. The Piotroski score is 5 of 9. The Beneish M-score is not available. CoStar beat earnings estimates in all 8 of the last quarters, with an average surprise of 20.5%. Estimates for the current year rose 3.5% over 90 days, and estimates for next year rose 2.6%, with next-year growth expected at 25.9%.

Profitability

Profitability is red. The gross margin is 76.2% against a ten-year median of 79.5%. The operating margin is 5.8% against a median of 17.7%, and the net margin is 4.9% against a median of 14.4%. Operating margin stability is 0.586. ROIC is 1.73% against a WACC of 8.41%, and ROIC minus WACC is -6.68%, which means the company is destroying value. The five-year median ROIC is 9.44%. Return on equity is 2.2%. The DuPont split, as of 2025-12-31, shows a net margin of 0.22%, asset turnover of 0.308 and an equity multiplier of 1.26, so leverage is not inflating the return.

Growth

Growth is yellow. Revenue compound growth is 14.2% over three years, 14.4% over five years and 16.4% over ten years. Revenue has grown in all 10 of the last 10 years. Earnings per share has fallen at -73.8% a year over three years and -51.1% over five years. Free cash flow per share has fallen at -54.8% over three years, -38.9% over five years and -11.4% over ten years. Consensus expects earnings per share growth of 25.9% next year, which is the main support for the growth case.

Valuation

Valuation is green, based on an undervalued verdict and a margin of safety of 103.3%. The price-to-earnings ratio is 70.2 against a ten-year median of 84.5. The enterprise value to EBITDA multiple is 23.0 against 45.5, and the price-to-sales ratio is 3.42 against 12.74. The price-to-book ratio is 1.58 against 4.36. The free cash flow yield is 0.5% and the earnings yield is 1.4%. The price-to-free-cash-flow ratio is 192.2 against 60.7, a premium of 216.5%. The fair value band runs from 50.81 to 76.21 USD with a midpoint of 63.51 USD. The discounted cash flow value is not available, and the base free cash flow is negative at -87.6 million USD. The reverse DCF implied growth is not available. The company pays no dividend.

Risks

The main risk is that the low returns persist. A ROIC of 1.73% against a WACC of 8.41% means each dollar invested is not yet earning its cost of capital, so the multiples discount may not close. Trailing free cash flow conversion of 36.5% and free cash flow after stock-based compensation of -87.6 million USD show that reported earnings are not yet turning into cash for shareholders. The fall in earnings per share over three and five years makes the forecast 25.9% growth next year the critical test. The discounted cash flow value and the reverse DCF are not available, and the fair value band rests on historical multiples. The Beneish M-score is not available. The analysis has no debt maturity schedule and no revenue by segment, so it cannot assess refinancing timing or which business lines drive growth.

Metrics

Company
NameCoStar Group Inc
SectorReal Estate
SymbolCSGP.US
CountryUSA
CurrencyUSD
IndustryReal Estate Services
DescriptionCoStar Group, Inc. provides information, analytics, and online marketplace services to real estate and related business communities in the United States, Australia, Canada, Europe, the Asia Pacific, and Latin America. It offers CoStar Property that provides inventory of office, industrial, retail, multifamily, hospitality, and student housing, and land properties; CoStar Leasing, a data on lease transactions and tools to manage user-entered lease data; CoStar Sales, a database of commercial real estate sales transactions; CoStar Owners provides detailed portfolio information; CoStar Markets to view and report on market and submarket trends; and CoStar Tenant that provides tenant information. The company also provides hospitality benchmarking that allows hotels to measure performance against competitors; Debt Solutions, a tool for lenders to manage loan portfolios and risk; and real estate and lease management technology solutions, such as lease administration, lease accounting, and transaction management services. In addition, it offers Apartamentos.com, an apartment marketing sites; LoopNet.com, a commercial property marketing sites; Homes.com, a home for sale listings site; Ten-X, an online auction platform for commercial real estate; Land.com, a marketplace for rural land sales; and BizBuySell.com, a marketplace for operating businesses and franchises for sale. It serves sales, leasing, and mortgage brokers; property, real estate investment trust, insurance companies, and
Fiscal year endDecember
Data dates
Price2026-11-09
Statements2026-09-30
Risk free date2026-11-09
Fundamentals fetched at2026-11-06T03:33:21.426Z
Market
Beta0.78
Price31.24
Market cap12,569,018,127
Quote unitUSD
Shares now402,337,328
Risk free rate0.0489
Risk free symbolUS10Y
Enterprise value13,241,018,127
Financial health
Altman z4.115SAFE
Quick ratio1.1257
Current ratio1.3212OK
Debt to equity0.147
Net debt to ebitda1.1669OK
Interest coverage21.0917OK
Debt vs revenue growth5y-0.1403
Earnings quality
Beneish › M—
Beneish › Label—
Piotroski › Score5
Piotroski › Passed5
Piotroski › Evaluable9
Fcf after sbc-87,600,000
Accrual ratio-0.0427
Sbc to revenue0.0416
Fcf conversion5y0.9171
Fcf conversion ttm0.3654
Share count cagr5y0.0188
Earnings surprises › Beats8
Earnings surprises › Misses0
Earnings surprises › Quarters8
Earnings surprises › Average surprise pct20.5147
Estimate revisions › Next year › Growth0.259
Estimate revisions › Next year › Change90d0.0255
Estimate revisions › Next year › Up last30d1
Estimate revisions › Next year › Down last30d1
Estimate revisions › Current year › Change90d0.0352
Estimate revisions › Current year › Up last30d1
Estimate revisions › Current year › Down last30d1
Profitability
Roic0.0173
Wacc0.0841
Dupont › As of2025-12-31
Dupont › Net margin0.0022
Dupont › Asset turnover0.3081
Dupont › Equity multiplier1.2645
Tax rate0.35
Net margin0.0487
Cost of debt0.0489
Gross margin0.7618
Cost of equity0.089
Roic median5y0.0944
Roic minus wacc-0.0668DESTROYS_VALUE
Return on equity0.0224
Net margin median0.1437
Operating margin0.0578
Gross margin median0.7946
Operating margin median0.1772
Operating margin stability0.5863
Growth
Eps › Cagr3y-0.7384
Eps › Cagr5y-0.5106
Eps › Cagr10y—
Revenue › Cagr3y0.1416
Revenue › Cagr5y0.1437
Revenue › Cagr10y0.1639
Fcf per share › Cagr3y-0.5481
Fcf per share › Cagr5y-0.3888
Fcf per share › Cagr10y-0.1142
Revenue growth consistency › Growing years10
Revenue growth consistency › Comparable years10
Valuation
Dcf › G1—
Dcf › G t0.025
Dcf › Fcf0-87,600,000
Dcf › Discount rate0.089
Dcf › Terminal share—
Dcf › Fair value per share—
Current › Pb1.5761
Current › Pe70.218
Current › Ps3.4211
Current › P fcf192.1868
Current › Fcf yield0.0052
Current › Ev to ebitda22.9919
Current › Earnings yield0.0142
VerdictUNDERVALUED
Fair value › Low50.8098
Fair value › Mid63.5122
Fair value › High76.2147
Fair value › Margin of safety1.033
Historical › Pb › Median4.3606
Historical › Pb › Points10
Historical › Pb › Current1.5761
Historical › Pb › Premium pct-0.6386
Historical › Pe › Median84.4564
Historical › Pe › Points10
Historical › Pe › Current70.218
Historical › Pe › Premium pct-0.1686
Historical › Ps › Median12.7427
Historical › Ps › Points10
Historical › Ps › Current3.4211
Historical › Ps › Premium pct-0.7315
Historical › P fcf › Median60.7268
Historical › P fcf › Points9
Historical › P fcf › Current192.1868
Historical › P fcf › Premium pct2.1648
Historical › Ev to ebitda › Median45.538
Historical › Ev to ebitda › Points10
Historical › Ev to ebitda › Current22.9919
Historical › Ev to ebitda › Premium pct-0.4951
Reverse dcf › Implied growth—
Reverse dcf › Vs revenue cagr5y—
Reverse dcf › Vs fcf per share cagr5y—
Historical fair value63.5122
Dividend
Yield—
Payout on fcf—
Forward yield0
Notes
NotesNEGATIVE_FCF
Data flags
Prices staleNo
Risk free staleNo
Fundamentals staleNo

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