Cisco Systems Inc (CSCO)
Tecnología de la informaciónCommunication EquipmentSobrevalorada
Precio: 95,64 US$ · 13 nov 2026Análisis del 9 nov 2026
Valor razonable
- Valor razonable · Mínimo
- 39,89 US$
- Valor razonable · Medio
- 49,86 US$
- Valor razonable · Máximo
- 59,83 US$
Boletín de notas
Cinco materias evaluadas por el servidor con umbrales fijos. Sin nota global: cada color indica dónde está la fortaleza o el problema.
Zona de Altman: Segura (Z 3,86) · balance del 31 jul 2026
Sobrevalorada
Análisis
Conclusión
Cisco Systems Inc diseña y vende equipos de redes, seguridad, colaboración y servicios relacionados para empresas, gobiernos y proveedores de servicios. Con un precio de 98.65 USD por acción, la capitalización bursátil es de 388.9 mil millones de USD y el valor empresarial es de 402.6 mil millones de USD.
El veredicto es sobrevalorada. El precio de 98.65 USD se sitúa muy por encima de la banda de valor razonable de 39.89 a 59.83 USD, con un punto medio de 49.86 USD y un margen de seguridad de -49.5%. Los múltiplos actuales están muy por encima de sus medianas de diez años: la relación precio-beneficio es de 29.3 frente a una mediana de 18.9, una prima de 54.7%, y la relación precio-flujo de caja libre es de 30.5 frente a 15.9, una prima de 92.0%. El descuento de flujos de caja da 35.97 USD por acción, y el valor razonable según múltiplos históricos es de 63.75 USD. El DCF inverso implica un crecimiento de 18.0% anual, mientras que los ingresos han crecido a una tasa compuesta de 4.9% en cinco años y el flujo de caja libre por acción ha caído a una tasa de -1.7% anual en el mismo periodo.
El caso descansa en el balance y en la calidad de los beneficios. El Altman Z-score de 3.86, la cobertura de intereses de 11.9x y la conversión del flujo de caja libre de 96.2% en los últimos doce meses son las cifras más sólidas. Las más débiles son la prima de 92.0% en la relación precio-flujo de caja libre, el crecimiento implícito de 18.0% frente al 4.9% logrado, y un ratio de liquidez corriente de 0.93.
Métricas
Empresa
| Name | Cisco Systems Inc |
|---|---|
| Sector | Technology |
| Symbol | CSCO.US |
| Country | USA |
| Currency | USD |
| Industry | Communication Equipment |
| Description | Cisco Systems, Inc. designs, develops, and sells technologies to power, help, secure, and draw insights from the internet in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, Japan, and China. The company provides data center switching; network security, identity and access management, and secure access service edge; identity and agentic security solutions; interconnects public and private wireline and mobile networks, delivering connectivity to campus, data center, and branch networks; WEBEX suite, collaboration devices, and contact center; communication platform as a service software, including perpetual licenses, subscription arrangements, and hardware solutions; network assurance and observability suite; accelerated issue resolution, software support, and hardware replacement; professional services, such as planning, design, implementation, and high-value consulting; service and support packages, financing, and managed network services; and regional, national, and international wireline carriers, webscale products, internet, and cable. It also provides wireless products, including indoor and outdoor coverage designed for seamless roaming use of voice, video, and data applications; end-to-end collaboration solutions through cloud, on-premise, or within hybrid cloud environments. In addition, it offers technical support services. The company serves businesses, public institutions, governments, and service providers. It sells its products and services directly |
| Fiscal year end | July |
Fechas de los datos
| Price | 2026-11-09 |
|---|---|
| Statements | 2026-07-31 |
| Risk free date | 2026-11-09 |
| Fundamentals fetched at | 2026-11-06T03:31:28.672Z |
Mercado
| Beta | 1,002 |
|---|---|
| Price | 98,65 |
| Market cap | 388.936.195.021 |
| Quote unit | USD |
| Shares now | 3.942.586.873 |
| Risk free rate | 0,0487 |
| Risk free symbol | US10Y |
| Enterprise value | 402.551.195.021 |
Solidez financiera
| Altman z | 3,8647SAFE |
|---|---|
| Quick ratio | 0,6449 |
| Current ratio | 0,9311WATCH |
| Debt to equity | 0,5873 |
| Net debt to ebitda | 0,6801OK |
| Interest coverage | 11,8905OK |
| Debt vs revenue growth5y | 0,1579 |
Calidad de los beneficios
| Beneish › M | — |
|---|---|
| Beneish › Label | — |
| Piotroski › Score | 7 |
| Piotroski › Passed | 7 |
| Piotroski › Evaluable | 9 |
| Fcf after sbc | 8.937.000.000 |
| Accrual ratio | -0,0072 |
| Sbc to revenue | 0,0605 |
| Fcf conversion5y | 1,1694 |
| Fcf conversion ttm | 0,9623 |
| Share count cagr5y | -0,012 |
| Earnings surprises › Beats | 8 |
| Earnings surprises › Misses | 0 |
| Earnings surprises › Quarters | 8 |
| Earnings surprises › Average surprise pct | 3,5348 |
| Estimate revisions › Next year › Growth | 0,0925 |
| Estimate revisions › Next year › Change90d | 0,0653 |
| Estimate revisions › Next year › Up last30d | 3 |
| Estimate revisions › Next year › Down last30d | 0 |
| Estimate revisions › Current year › Change90d | 0,0767 |
| Estimate revisions › Current year › Up last30d | 1 |
| Estimate revisions › Current year › Down last30d | 1 |
Rentabilidad
| Roic | 0,2267 |
|---|---|
| Wacc | 0,0948 |
| Dupont › As of | 2026-07-31 |
| Dupont › Net margin | 0,2095 |
| Dupont › Asset turnover | 0,4885 |
| Dupont › Equity multiplier | 2,578 |
| Tax rate | 0,1713 |
| Net margin | 0,2095 |
| Cost of debt | 0,0498 |
| Gross margin | 0,6452 |
| Cost of equity | 0,0988 |
| Roic median5y | 0,2267 |
| Roic minus wacc | 0,1319CREATES_VALUE |
| Return on equity | 0,2638 |
| Net margin median | 0,2111 |
| Operating margin | 0,2427 |
| Gross margin median | 0,6349 |
| Operating margin median | 0,2536 |
| Operating margin stability | 0,0826 |
Crecimiento
| Eps › Cagr3y | 0,0269 |
|---|---|
| Eps › Cagr5y | 0,0588 |
| Eps › Cagr10y | 0,0466 |
| Revenue › Cagr3y | 0,0357 |
| Revenue › Cagr5y | 0,0492 |
| Revenue › Cagr10y | 0,0255 |
| Fcf per share › Cagr3y | -0,1161 |
| Fcf per share › Cagr5y | -0,0168 |
| Fcf per share › Cagr10y | 0,0275 |
| Revenue growth consistency › Growing years | 7 |
| Revenue growth consistency › Comparable years | 10 |
Valoración
| Dcf › G1 | 0,0492 |
|---|---|
| Dcf › G t | 0,025 |
| Dcf › Fcf0 | 8.937.000.000 |
| Dcf › Discount rate | 0,0988 |
| Dcf › Terminal share | 0,5137 |
| Dcf › Fair value per share | 35,9698 |
| Current › Pb | 7,7346 |
| Current › Pe | 29,3161 |
| Current › Ps | 6,1419 |
| Current › P fcf | 30,4642 |
| Current › Fcf yield | 0,0328 |
| Current › Ev to ebitda | 20,1085 |
| Current › Earnings yield | 0,0341 |
| Verdict | OVERVALUED |
| Fair value › Low | 39,8894 |
| Fair value › Mid | 49,8617 |
| Fair value › High | 59,834 |
| Fair value › Margin of safety | -0,4946 |
| Historical › Pb › Median | 5,2988 |
| Historical › Pb › Points | 10 |
| Historical › Pb › Current | 7,7346 |
| Historical › Pb › Premium pct | 0,4597 |
| Historical › Pe › Median | 18,9458 |
| Historical › Pe › Points | 10 |
| Historical › Pe › Current | 29,3161 |
| Historical › Pe › Premium pct | 0,5474 |
| Historical › Ps › Median | 4,1221 |
| Historical › Ps › Points | 10 |
| Historical › Ps › Current | 6,1419 |
| Historical › Ps › Premium pct | 0,49 |
| Historical › P fcf › Median | 15,8668 |
| Historical › P fcf › Points | 10 |
| Historical › P fcf › Current | 30,4642 |
| Historical › P fcf › Premium pct | 0,92 |
| Historical › Ev to ebitda › Median | 12,6499 |
| Historical › Ev to ebitda › Points | 10 |
| Historical › Ev to ebitda › Current | 20,1085 |
| Historical › Ev to ebitda › Premium pct | 0,5896 |
| Reverse dcf › Implied growth | 0,1804 |
| Reverse dcf › Vs revenue cagr5y | 0,1313 |
| Reverse dcf › Vs fcf per share cagr5y | 0,1972 |
| Historical fair value | 63,7536 |
Dividendo
| Yield | 0,0168 |
|---|---|
| Payout on fcf | 0,5133 |
| Forward yield | 0,0163 |
Avisos sobre los datos
| Prices stale | No |
|---|---|
| Risk free stale | No |
| Fundamentals stale | No |